We Were Frustrated
Just like you. Every expert was saying something different about AI timelines. The truth was buried in academic papers. So we built what we wished existed.
Why We Started
Picture this: It's 2am. You're reading another AI breakthrough story. "Is this it?" you wonder. "Should I be worried? Excited? Changing careers?" We built this because we had the same questions.
1Stop the Information Hoarding
The billionaires know. The AI labs know. The governments are preparing. But what about you? We believe everyone deserves to understand what's coming—not just those with PhDs or insider access.
2Cut Through the Noise
One expert says 2 years. Another says 50. Most hide behind jargon. We dig through every prediction, verify every claim, and show you exactly what the smartest minds really think—in plain English.
3Help You Get Ready
Your kids might never need to learn to drive. Your job might not exist in 10 years. Or maybe everything stays the same. We can't predict the future, but we can show you what the experts are betting on—so you can make your own choices.
Nobody Owns Us
No VC funding. No corporate sponsors. No hidden agenda. Just humans trying to understand what's really happening.
🎯Here's What Made Us Snap
The Truth Was Everywhere and Nowhere
Sam Altman says one thing in an interview. DeepMind publishes a paper. Some survey gets buried in a journal. Meanwhile, you're trying to plan your life. We got tired of the treasure hunt.
They Made It Impossible to Understand
"Orthogonal optimization processes in mesa-optimizers..." Seriously? We have MBAs, engineers, teachers, and parents trying to understand if AI will change everything. They deserve better than academic word soup.
Nobody Showed Their Work
"AGI by 2030!" Ok, but why? Based on what? Who said that? Most predictions online are just clickbait with no receipts. We wanted real data, real sources, real accountability.
✓Our Solution
- •Aggregate predictions from verified experts
- •Present data in interactive, accessible formats
- •Maintain complete editorial independence
- •Follow rigorous fact-checking procedures
- •Provide transparent methodology documentation
🔒Independence Guarantee
All funding sources transparently disclosed
Editorial decisions based solely on scientific merit
No corporate, political, or institutional bias
Open source methodology and data
What You Actually Get
Not another AI hype site. Real tools that answer your real questions.
Who Says What & When
Every legitimate AGI prediction in one place. No cherry-picking. No bias. Just 'Here's what Hinton said. Here's what Anthropic thinks. You decide.'
Play With the Future
Drag sliders. See what happens if compute grows faster. Or slower. Or if there's a breakthrough tomorrow. Make it real for yourself.
The Nerdy Details (Made Simple)
We read the papers so you don't have to. But if you want to check our work, every source is right there. No hand-waving.
Actually Understand This Stuff
What's AGI? Why should you care? How do we know any of this? We explain it like you're smart but busy. Because you are.
Fresh Intel, Always
When OpenAI drops a bombshell or a new survey comes out, we update everything. You're never looking at stale predictions.
We Show Our Work
Every claim has a source. Every calculation is explained. Don't trust us—verify us. That's the whole point.
We're Obsessive About Getting It Right
Because wrong information about AGI timelines could cost you everything
✓Source Standards
Academic Sources
Peer-reviewed publications in top-tier journals
Industry Leaders
Official statements from AI organizations
Expert Surveys
Verified expert surveys and interviews
Institutional Reports
Government and research institution publications
🔍Verification Process
Multi-Source Verification
Every claim verified across multiple independent sources
Attribution & Citations
Complete source documentation with direct links
Continuous Updates
Regular revision as new data becomes available
Correction Protocol
Transparent procedures for addressing errors
📄Editorial Policy
Our comprehensive editorial policy outlines every aspect of our research methodology, source evaluation criteria, and quality assurance processes.
Read Full PolicyWhat We Stand For
The promises we make to you, every single day
Boring Truth Beats Exciting Lies
We could say 'AI WILL KILL US ALL BY TUESDAY!' and get more clicks. But that's not why we're here. If the truth is complex, uncertain, or boring, that's what you'll get. Your future matters more than our traffic.
Your Grandma Should Get It
Not because she's not smart—because she shouldn't need a PhD to understand if robots are taking over. We write for humans, not journals. Clear beats clever every time.
All Sides, No Sides
The optimists might be right. The doomers might be right. We show you both, label them clearly, and let you decide. We're not here to push an agenda—we're here to show you the whole picture.
Wrong Yesterday? Fixed Today
AI moves fast. Sometimes we're wrong. When we are, we fix it, note what changed, and move on. No ego, no excuses. This is too important to pretend we're perfect.
Why This Had to Exist
Information Fragmentation
Critical AGI timeline predictions are scattered across academic papers, industry reports, expert surveys, and conference presentations. This fragmentation makes it nearly impossible for individuals to get a comprehensive view of expert consensus.
Accessibility Barriers
Most AGI research is published in technical formats that require specialized knowledge to interpret. Complex statistical models and academic jargon create barriers for the general public.
Lack of Transparency
Many existing summaries of AGI timelines don't clearly explain their methodologies, source selection criteria, or potential biases, making it difficult to assess reliability.
Update Delays
The fast-moving nature of AI research means that timeline predictions become outdated quickly, but many resources fail to update their information regularly.
Ready to Know What's Really Coming?
Stop guessing. Start understanding. See what the experts see, play with the scenarios yourself, and make decisions based on data—not hype.
Interactive Timeline
Explore detailed AGI development projections with expert predictions and milestone tracking
Scenario Calculator
Assess different AGI development scenarios and their implications for various outcomes
Research Database
Deep dive into underlying research data, expert methodologies, and analysis frameworks
You're Not Alone in This
Thousands of people just like you are trying to figure this out. Join us. Ask questions. Point out our mistakes. Share what you learn. Together, we're smarter than any AI (for now).
Research Community
Connect with researchers, share insights, and collaborate on improving AGI timeline analysis methodologies.
Quality Assurance
Help identify errors, suggest improvements, and ensure our analysis maintains the highest standards of accuracy.
Feature Requests
Suggest new features, analysis methods, or data visualizations that would improve the platform's value.