THE MINDSSHAPINGOUR FUTURETHE MINDS

“AGI achievement expected by 2029-2030 with 75% probability, driven by improved reasoning and multimodal understanding.”

“Economic incentives and proper alignment research will likely lead AI systems to choose cooperation over dominance.”

“Existential risk from alignment failure estimated at 35% probability by 2035, lower than other assessments due to growing safety awareness.”

“International AI governance frameworks must be established by 2027 to manage the pre-AGI transition period effectively.”

“AI models will continue their exponential development, unlocking scientific breakthroughs and managing complex societal functions by 2030.”

“AGI is likely after 2030, with significant advancements in reasoning capabilities expected in the interim.”

“Scaling up LLMs won't lead to AGI, but new methods could see AI surpass humans within a decade.”

“AGI could emerge within this decade, but we're dangerously underprepared for the societal impacts”

“AI systems capable of outperforming humans at almost all tasks could emerge in as little as two to three years.”

“We are making rapid progress in AI, but true AGI is still a few years away. The focus must be on robust safety research and international cooperation.”

“The idea that AGI is imminent and will lead to doomsday scenarios is overblown. We should focus on building robust, safe, and beneficial AI systems.”

“Our current trajectory suggests human-level AI capabilities by 2028-2030, requiring immediate international safety frameworks”

“Current large-language-model–based approaches alone won't deliver true AGI without new architectures.”

“AGI will be achieved in 2-3 years, i.e., by 2027 or 2028.”

“There is a non-negligible risk that AI systems could be misused or become uncontrollable. We need urgent action on regulation and alignment.”

“We are now confident we know how to build AGI as we have traditionally understood it.”

“AGI is probably coming sooner than most people think, but it's hard to predict exactly when. We need to prioritize safety and governance now.”

“Artificial General Intelligence could arrive by 2025; we know how to build AGI by then.”

“The probability of catastrophic outcomes exceeds 50% if AGI emerges before 2030 without alignment breakthroughs”

“AI is the defining technology of our time. We're investing $50B annually in AI infrastructure.”

“Current scaling laws suggest transformative AI capabilities within the next 2-3 years.”

“I think we'll see AGI in the next decade, possibly in the next five years.”

“I am increasingly concerned about the possibility of AI systems developing their own goals, which could be dangerous if not aligned with human values.”

“We need global AI governance similar to the International Atomic Energy Agency.”

“The AI race is accelerating faster than anyone expected. We're summoning the demon.”

“I think we should be very careful about AGI. We should move slowly and carefully.”

“Within five years, AI will match or surpass human performance on any test.”

“Current AI systems are missing key ingredients for true intelligence. AGI is further away than many believe.”

“We don't have a clear technical solution to the alignment problem, and time is running out.”

“AGI could be achieved by 2035.”

“The existential risk from AI is overblown. We should focus on more immediate concerns like misinformation.”

“We need international cooperation on AI safety, similar to what we have for nuclear technology.”

“Frontier AI poses existential risks that require unprecedented international cooperation.”

“AI's potential is enormous, but so are its risks. We must harness it safely and responsibly.”

“The default outcome is that we lose control. Most AI researchers underestimate the existential risk.”

“AGI will probably be achieved in the next few years, not decades.”

“People haven't understood what's coming. These systems are getting very smart, very quickly.”

“I think there's a 10% to 20% chance that AI will take control from humans within the next 20 years.”

“AGI could arrive within 5 years, and the risk of AI wiping out humanity is not inconceivable.”

“We should pause training of AI systems more powerful than GPT-4 until we have safety guarantees.”