AGI FAQ
Comprehensive answers to frequently asked questions about Artificial General Intelligence, AI safety, timeline predictions, and preparation strategies
❓Frequently Asked Questions
by•Independent Research & Analysis
Published Jun 15, 2025•Updated Jul 27, 2025•✓ Reviewed
This analysis represents synthesis of expert opinions and publicly available research. The author is not a credentialed AI researcher but aims to provide accurate aggregation of expert consensus.
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[1]
Stuart Russell (2019). Human Compatible: Artificial Intelligence and the Problem of Control. Viking Press.
[2]
François Chollet (2019). On the Measure of Intelligence. arXiv preprint arXiv:1911.01547.
[3]
Nick Bostrom (2014). Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies. Oxford University Press.
[4]
Jaime Sevilla et al. (2022). Compute Trends Across Three Eras of Machine Learning. arXiv preprint arXiv:2202.05924.
[5]
Katja Grace, John Salvatier, Allan Dafoe, Baobao Zhang, & Owain Evans (2018). When Will AI Exceed Human Performance? Evidence from AI Experts. Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research, 62, 729-754.
[6]
Metaculus Community (2023). When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?. Metaculus. Retrieved 2024-01-10.
[7]
Sébastien Bubeck, Varun Chandrasekaran, Ronen Eldan, & et al. (2023). Sparks of Artificial General Intelligence: Early experiments with GPT-4. arXiv preprint arXiv:2303.12712.
[8]
Toby Ord (2020). The Precipice: Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity. Hachette Books.
[9]
Yuntao Bai et al. (2022). Constitutional AI: Harmlessness from AI Feedback. arXiv preprint arXiv:2212.08073.
[10]
Rishi Bommasani, Drew A. Hudson, Ehsan Adeli, & et al. (2021). On the Opportunities and Risks of Foundation Models. arXiv preprint arXiv:2108.07258.
[11]
Jared Kaplan et al. (2020). Scaling Laws for Neural Language Models. arXiv preprint arXiv:2001.08361.
[12]
Erik Brynjolfsson & Andrew McAfee (2014). The Second Machine Age: Work, Progress, and Prosperity in a Time of Brilliant Technologies. W. W. Norton & Company.
[13]
Toby Shevlane, Sebastian Farquhar, Ben Garfinkel, & et al. (2023). Model evaluation for extreme risks. arXiv preprint arXiv:2305.15324.
[14]
Yuval Noah Harari (2017). Homo Deus: A Brief History of Tomorrow. Spiegel & Grau.
[15]
Max Tegmark (2017). Life 3.0: Being Human in the Age of Artificial Intelligence. Knopf.
[16]
Allan Dafoe (2018). AI Governance: A Research Agenda. Governance of AI Program, Future of Humanity Institute.
[17]
Ajeya Cotra (2022). Forecasting TAI with Biological Anchors. Open Philanthropy.
[18]
Stuart Russell, Daniel Dewey, & Max Tegmark (2015). Research priorities for robust and beneficial artificial intelligence. AI Magazine, 36(4), 105-114.