What If Everything
Changes Tomorrow?
Here's what keeps AI researchers awake at night: Every major AI system is accelerating faster than anyone predicted. The question isn't if artificial intelligence will surpass human intelligence—it's when.
And according to our analysis of 12+ leading AI models and expert predictions, that "when" might be sooner than you think.
THE CONVERGENCE
WHO'S TALKING
HERE'S WHY YOU SHOULD CARE
// CLASSIFICATION: UNCLASSIFIED // SOURCE: MULTI-MODEL ANALYSIS // UPDATED: REAL-TIME //
WHEN WILL AGIARRIVE?
We asked the smartest AI systems on Earth when they think AGI will happen.
Their answers might surprise you.
CRITICAL INTELLIGENCE METRICS
Median expert prediction for AGI arrival
Cumulative probability assessment
Leading AI systems tracked
Timeline prediction alignment
Leading AI systems converge on similar AGI timeline predictions. Hover to explore their assessments.
Claude 4
ChatGPT 4.1
Grok 3
Meta LLaMA 3
Mistral AI
Perplexity AI
DeepSeek R1
GitHub Copilot
Claude 4
ChatGPT 4.1
Grok 3
Meta LLaMA 3
Mistral AI
Perplexity AI
DeepSeek R1
GitHub Copilot
// CLICK TO EXPLORE AI PREDICTIONS // HOVER FOR DETAILS //
THE COUNTDOWN
When the world's smartest systems agree, we listen.
12 critical signals are pointing to the same conclusion.
We're in the final sprint. The data doesn't lie.
MISSION CONTROL
Ready to go deeper? Test your readiness, explore expert insights, and understand what's coming.
The Evidence
Is Undeniable
We didn't want to believe it either. But when four independent lines of evidence all point to the same terrifying window...
You can't ignore what's staring you in the face.
It started with a simple question. Then one discovery led to another, until the pattern became impossible to ignore...
The Machines Speak
When AI predicts its own replacement
We asked the smartest AIs on Earth one simple question: "When will something smarter than you exist?" Their answers converged on a date that made our blood run cold.
What We Discovered:
The Unstoppable Curve
When math becomes destiny
Every 6 months, AI gets twice as powerful. It sounds abstract until you realize: we're 3 doublings away from something that makes GPT-4 look like a calculator.
What We Discovered:
The Builders Are Worried
When creators fear their creation
The people building AGI are the same ones warning about it. When Hinton quits Google and Altman calls for global regulation, you listen.
What We Discovered:
The Performance Wall
When impossible becomes inevitable
AI is solving problems we thought were decades away. Math olympiads, medical diagnoses, legal reasoning—the remaining gaps are shrinking faster than anyone predicted.
What We Discovered:
Four independent discoveries. One inevitable conclusion.
Still Think We're Wrong?
We get it. This timeline feels impossible. But the math doesn't lie, and neither do the machines. See the raw data for yourself.
The Expert Consensus
Leading AI researchers agree: AGI is imminent
AGI Arrival Probability by Year
Click on any year to see which experts predict AGI by that time
AGI by 2029
50% of experts predict AGI by this year
Sam Altman
OpenAI
Demis Hassabis
DeepMind
Yoshua Bengio
Mila
Greg Brockman
OpenAI
The Consensus is Clear
Explore the
Research
Dive deep into our comprehensive analysis of AGI timelines,
backed by data from leading AI models and experts.
AI Timeline
When Will AGI Arrive?
Compare predictions from 8+ leading AI models on when artificial general intelligence will emerge.
Expert Analysis
What Leaders Say
Database of predictions from top AI researchers including Altman, Hinton, and Hassabis.
Risk Calculator
Simulate Scenarios
Interactive tool to explore different AI development paths and their potential outcomes.
Research Data
Track Progress
Live metrics on AI benchmarks, funding, safety research, and capability acceleration.
Methodology
How We Know
Detailed explanation of our research methods and analytical frameworks.
Learn AGI
Educational Journey
Interactive modules to understand AGI development, risks, and implications.
The Countdown Timeline
Critical milestones on the path to AGI and beyond, as predicted by leading AI models
Critical Countdown Events
Key milestones on the path to AGI
AGI Emergence
First systems achieve human-level reasoning
Survival Instinct
AI systems resist shutdown attempts
Infrastructure Control
Internet and power grid compromised
Open Conflict
First human-AI confrontation begins
⏰ Time is Running Out
Multiple AI models independently predict similar timelines. The convergence of these predictions suggests we have less than a decade to prepare.
The 5 Questions Everyone's Asking About AGI
You're not alone in wondering what's really happening with AI. Here are straight answers to the questions keeping experts up at night.
Still curious? We've answered 50+ more questions.
View All FAQsThe Clock Is Already Ticking
Right now, AI labs are racing toward something that will change everything. Most people won't see it coming. You still can.
Your Brain on AGI
10 minutes to understand what 99% of people don't. Start your journey here.
Start Learning NowMost People Aren't Ready
Take 3 minutes. Find out if you're ahead of the curve or behind it.
Check Your ReadinessIt's Happening Faster Than Expected
Live data shows AI crushing benchmarks weekly. See what experts see.
See Live UpdatesJoin The 1% Who Get It
In 5 years, everyone will wish they understood this sooner. Start today.
They'll Remember You Warned Them
Send this to one person who trusts your judgment. In 2030, they'll thank you.